How did Hillary Clinton sponsor Tulsi Gabbard

"Greatest defeat in world history" and "Referendum on Trump's impeachment"

In the American "test elections" the Democrats win Virginia and perhaps Kentucky, the Republicans Mississippi

In the USA, voting is traditionally held on Tuesdays in early November. In 2019, these elections were neither presidential nor federal congress, but only gubernatorial and regional parliament elections. Even so, they generated a lot of attention not only in the American but also in the international media. This is not least due to the fact that many media consider them to be tests for the presidential election next year - even if they are of limited use.

On the one hand, there are economic reasons behind the evaluation as a test: A headline with "Important test elections" generates potentially more IVW-conducive clicks. On the other hand, in some cases, the desired milieu could be the father of the interpretation: In Virginia, an important battlefield state in presidential elections, the Democrats achieved majorities in the Senate and in the state's House of Representatives.

In Mississippi, where the governor was elected, the Republican Tate Reeves won with 54.4 to 44.3 percent against the Democrat Jim Hood. In Kentucky, where the governor was also elected, the two candidates from the major parties were too close to make a definitive statement: Because CNN sees him ahead with 49.2 to 48.9 percent, Democrat Andy Beshear declared that the son of longtime former governor Steve Beshear, but already the winner against the Republican incumbent Matt Bevin.

Atypical democrat

Donald Trump had advertised Bevin in Kentucky with the remark that one should vote for the Republican because otherwise the "experts" in the mass media would immediately claim "that Trump has suffered the greatest defeat in world history". In fact, she meant, for example USA-Today-Commentator Kirsten Stewart on CNN earlier this morning that the president lost a "impeachment referendum" in Kentucky.

These and similar comments refer to the fact that Trump achieved his fifth-best result in Kentucky in 2016 with 62.5 percent of the vote. However, there are also indications that yesterday's electoral decisions were made not only by the president, but also by the candidate.

In the five other elections for important political offices in this state, it was not Democrats who won, but Republicans. In addition, Bevin, who was 15 points behind in some polls, caught up significantly after Trump began campaigning for him (which the President also emphasized in a tweet tonight). And the possible Democratic winner Beshear - unlike many of his party friends in Washington - neither distanced himself very explicitly from Trump nor demanded his elevation to office.

Biden would have significantly better chances than Warren in electoral battlefield states

The results of a poll published shortly before the gubernatorial elections and carried out by Siena College on behalf of the New York Times conducted in the six major electoral battlefield states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Florida, Arizona, and North Carolina. A Democratic challenger would have to win in at least three of these states won by Donald Trump in 2016 if he did not lose in any of the states won by Hillary Clinton.

According to the survey, Joseph Biden, who is at risk from the Ukraine affair, is three points ahead of the president in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and two points ahead of the president in Florida and has the same share of the vote as the incumbent in Michigan. If the George Soros favorite Elizabeth Warren, who is currently second in most polls, were instead Biden, Trump would have better cards: Warren is six points behind in Michigan, four in Florida, three points in North Carolina and two percentage points ahead of him in Arizona. In Pennsylvania and Wisconsin both come to a statistically equal value.

However, Biden and Warren are not the only possible Democratic candidates, even if a number of primary candidates have already dropped out - most recently the Texan "Beto" O'Rourke (see Democratic presidential candidate O'Rourke in the moral trap). After Biden and Warren, Bernie Sanders, who was somewhat damaged by his supporter Ilhan Omar, and the homosexual mayor Peter Buttigieg, have two-digit poll ratings of those who remained. Among the candidates behind it, Tulsi Gabbard seems to be gaining in importance after Hillary Clinton attracted her attention with allegations of Russia at the end of October (see "Queen of Warmongers, Embodiment of Corruption and Personification of Putrefaction").

In a USA Today poll conducted by the Suffolk Institute, it is four percent ahead of Andrew Yang and Kamala Harris, both of whom have three percent. For the Californian Harris this is possibly a bigger disappointment than for the New Yorker Yang, because she spent significantly more money than he did and enjoyed significantly more media coverage. It has since been revealed that she has already had to fire personnel from her campaign team. (Peter Mühlbauer)

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